Every couple of weeks, PT will check in on the public mood (presumably a relatively well-informed public if they’re reading this blog) to see how you assess the likelihood of the referendum passing at this point. I’m not asking whether it should pass but whether it’s likely to.
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Number of days til the referendum, if held at next municipal election: 450
Well, it hinges quite heavily on how the question is worded…
One of my profs in university said that the separatists in Quebec spend more time trying to find the right referendum question than trying to convince people that separation is a good idea.
This referendum is unlikely to pass. It could easily become a popularity contest on TransLink; on more taxes; and on preserving the status quo.
Jarrett Walker says “cynicism is consent”.
For that reason I voted yes. But if there was a “I don’t know” option, I would have picked that.
If we can somehow leave TransLink out of the equation and the question by focusing on specific projects, then maybe the referendum has a chance. If TransLink figures big in the question, even if only implicitly, I’m afraid the referendum is no more than a popularity contest on TransLink like Ken says.