April 4, 2016

Must-Read: "The Highest Bidder"

Kerry Gold brings a lot of the Vancouver Dilemma together in “The Highest Bidder” – now out in The Walrus.
 
Gold 1
Gold 2
 

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  1. And from the people elected to represent the ‘public interest’ we see only moral corruption.. Is this what our veterans fought and died for…to see a sell out of a young generation not only poorly paid relative to 10 other cities in Canada but now driven out of their city by greed and deliberate political inaction?

    1. Pay no attention to the fact the citys leaders are selling you out, after all they have given you shiny new bike lanes!

      1. I like the bike lanes. I think everyone responsible for the bike lanes should be commended. The bike lanes and the other forms of progressive urban design discussed on Price Tags are what makes Vancouver a great city. However, it appears that all the great urban design in the world may unfortunately amount to rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. The Vancouver corruption described by Myron seems to be fully entrenched and unstoppable. Vancouver hit the iceberg a while ago and soon there will only be a glassy sea and floating corpses where Vancouver once was.

        1. Tend to agree. I am still waiting for our politicians to do something about this most pressing problem of our city, rather than deny it exists or suggest another study. Investigative journalists are the only ones who have done their job on this file. There seems to be little concerted action between levels of government to prevent the corrupting consequences of wealth flowing into Vancouver real estate. It makes me sad. I always supported the bold urbanism of Vancouver. But urbanism along will not save the soul of a city that has emptied of it community. It feels like our elected officials don’t really care about saving the life that Vancouver was designed to create.

        2. Chris: you canNOT stop money flowing around the world. You can only change policies to make it go elsewhere or you can MONETIZE IT BETTER. That is what I suggest. Money coming to BC is generally good as it creates wealth, tax revenue and jobs. We just do not tax it high enough, especially limited edition single family houses. We do not monetize the BC or Vancouver brand well enough for the general populace.

        3. Thomas, sure. that works too. Lots of different policies would work to both monetize and deter luxury speculation. The problem is that our politicians aren’t exploring any of them. They are essentially throwing Vancouver under the bus in order to sustain rising real estate values, in significant part through unexamined foreign cash that corrodes established neighbourhoods. The city is turning into a huge hedge fund for people with no investment in the culture or vitality of the place. I feel betrayed by my government on this issue.

  2. Foreign investors bring money to Canada. The money stays mainly in Canada. For every buyer there is a seller. A new $2M condo doesn’t fall out of the sky. It creates jobs, tax revenue and incomes for architects, city planner, builders, engineers, elevator installers, plumbers, electricians, concrete pourers, truck drivers, interior designers, cleaning people, window manufacturers, elevator steel cable manufacturers etc ..
    The issue is mainly single family houses and rare ocean front lots or unique, limited supply lots. We need to tax those higher far FAR higher, say 25% and triple the annual property taxes, plus strict enforcement of capital gains (often un- or certainly under reported). That means, for example, a $2M house is $2.5M for a non-Canadian. That would give the local buyer a distinct advantage
    Don’t restrict foreign investment. MONETIZE IT.
    BC, Vancouver, Victoria is a brand. A brand costs money. We do a very poor job monetizing the brand.
    ==> Phone or email you MLA and demand a land transfer tax of at least 15%, better 25% – and triple the annual property taxes – for single family houses, and perhaps 50% of that for condos so we can end homelessness, fix transit issues, hire more teachers or nurses !!

  3. Some people complain about all the products coming from Asia. Some of the Asians are now bringing back that money Canadians sent over for all that cheap stuff and they are buying up crummy old houses just for little bits of land. They are handing back huge wads of cash after selling cheap stuff to the whole of North America, Europe and other places too.
    Where does the massive amount of money really originate? It comes from British Columbia and everywhere else Asia sells products to. Most places would be very happy to see their money return, in exchange for shacks that are decades past their best-before dates.
    Papa Trudeau was the first Canadian PM to visit China, Trudeau the younger plans a major trip there this year. He will almost certainly go to other countries in Asia too, further encouraging stronger ties, including, of course, investments in Canada.
    Gregor Robertson has been to China on Trade Missions, etc., three times since in office. In 2013 Robertson pointed out that; “I provide access to Chinese officials in government that are responsible for the majority of economic activity in China,”. Port Coquitlam Mayor Greg Moore joined a Stephen Harper delegation to China too.
    This old song that young people cannot buy property close to the city centre is nothing at all new for just about all the decent sized cities in Europe. It’s been like that for many decades, in Paris, London, Rome, etc., etc. This is kinda new to Vancouver because, frankly, Vancouver has been a somewhat sleepy little town until quite recently.

  4. Most of the foreign money seems to be concentrated in a few desirable neighbourhoods in Vancouver and its inner suburbs, but the effects are being felt far away. I have friends trying to buy in Surrey, but they keep being outbid by deeper pocketed people who even last year would have been able to afford someplace other than the gunfire capital of Canada.
    The biggest price increases aren’t in the City of Vancouver or anywhere in Metro Vancouver, they’re way out in Abbotsford. Empty nesters who might otherwise downsize in their current neighbourhoods are instead buying large homes in the valley making it even harder for families priced out of Langley to find a place. It’s not just real estate numbers telling me this. Acquaintences are retiring to the Fraser Valley and every one of them has purchased a bigger home than they had before.

  5. I don’t see the government non-intervention on this file as inaction, corruption, or particularly malicious. Rather, I think they are doing their best to support the constituency that matters most to them: older Canadians who have traditionally done well in real estate and would be wounded if their house prices were to decline before they had the chance to pass their inflated asset off to a greater (younger) fool.
    I think Clark has been quite clear that she will take no intentional action that would decrease the value of British Columbian homes. Honestly, I can’t really see that as a bad path from her perspective. In every previous instance of an asset bubble, governments haven’t shown an ability to finely control the shape and course of a bubble. Were Clark to intervene, I would say she is more likely to pop this situation rather than mitigate it in a controlled fashion.
    Sadly, I think the time for thoughtful policy to control this issue was several years ago, maybe even a decade or two. Much like Albertans who neglected to fill their SWF with the proceeds of the oil industry, British Columbians have made their choice through repeated elections and the shouldering of massive personal debts to juice the housing market.
    A majority of British Columbians are severely invested in the notion of a housing market that will never go down. As such, any policy that seeks to push affordable housing beyond tokenism and edge work will fail. Sadly, this just further ratchets up the risk that the entire system will fail.
    Personally, I think our current state of things still has more to do with interest rates than with greedy foreigners. When all is said and done, we have no one to materially blame aside from ourselves.

    1. … I think our current state of things has more to do with interest rates than with greedy foreigners.
      An excellent point.
      However, I suggest it worked together with other elements like speculation and supply / demand to create a very heated dynamic that escalated prices. And the price escalation still occurs more in the land than the house.

  6. For all those waiting and wondering why politicians aren’t doing anything, you do realize that Bob Rennie is the chair of the BC Liberal fundraising committee, right? Didn’t he also host $25,000/table lunches for Vision Vancouver?
    Besides, what can they really do? Now that our economy has become so dependant on housing prices to keep escalating (ponzi scheme), having it collapse would be pretty devastating.
    http://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/b-c-liberals-outpace-ndp-in-fundraising
    “Top Liberal donors in 2015 included $75,000 each from the Aquilini Investment Group and Concord Pacific Developments Corp. Condo marketing guru Bob Rennie, who is leading the B.C. Liberal fundraising machine, also donated $50,000.”

  7. Call it what it is; “Vancouver Incorporated”. A public company having thousands of profit sharing employees making billions of dollars who have no need for off shore tax shelters. If Forbes rated VanInc it would likely be the most successful brand ever. Watch for the IPO and get in on the ground floor.

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