January 28, 2014

Forecast Follies: The always-upward slope

Clark Williams-Derry from the Sightline Institute adds to his collection of Motordom charts with upward slopes for the future and flat lines for the present:

As the State Smart Transportation Initiative at the University of Wisconsin points out, the US Department of Transportation has been making the virtually identical vehicle travel forecasts for well over a decade. All of those forecasts project rapid and incessant growth in vehicle travel for as far as the eye can see. Meanwhile, actual traffic volumes have flattened out, and may actually be falling.





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